Good evening everyone! It’s 5 weeks
before the exam, time to grind out all reading material and start doing
practice questions. This week marks the ending of many companies fiscal year
end, busy earning seasons and market news flying across screens. As a passive
investor myself, I made a few trades and exited my positions just before market
took off later the week, if only I knew… oh well, market timing is not for
everyone.
Hope the studying for everyone is
going well. In light of the fast approaching exam day and a few requests
before, I will make the next couple of post focusing around the key concepts
for level 1 and 2. Keep in mind I took the first two levels a few years ago,
there may be some changes to the curriculum but the key concepts should still
be relevant. I won’t attempt to cover everything in the curriculum but list
what I’ve remembered in my review.
First of all, I can stress more on
the LOS command words, so you don’t get overwhelmed with all the stuff included.
Don’t let where you are in your studying or the amount of material remaining
frustrate you or make you feel hopelessly buried. Know what you are
required to know, nothing more nothing less.
In Macroeconomics you should be
aware of how important an understanding of macroeconomics is to successful
investment management, portfolio construction, country allocations, and the
relative attractiveness of equities vs. bonds vs. cash vs. physical
assets. Relating to recent world economic growth which is slowing down, aggregate
demand and incomes are down and monetary policy has been eased to reduce
short-term interest rates to very low levels (injection ended this month,
creates more pressure on rates). It’s easy to say low interest rates are driving
to restore aggregate demand to full employment levels, it is not the only
factor. As the world has seen Japan’s effort to add stimulus, the US market has
reacted positively, but this is also backed by the improved GDP and a strong
dollar.
Financial Reporting and Analysis will
be 20% of the exam, that translates to 48 questions, it’s make or break type of
deal. Practice this stuff inside-out, it will be tested extensively and you
will need it for Level 2 and 3. Try to relate this stuff to a financial analyst
to understand financial statements and to know where to look for company information
and how to analyze it. A financial analyst should be able to read and
understand financial statements. You will not find it easy in securities
analysis and portfolio management if you don’t understand financial statements
really well. The materials will come together for you now as you complete the
readings. Try to get through the income statement, the balance sheet and the
cash flow statement, but more importantly understand how it all links to each
other and use them to analyze a security. At the end of the day, this part
counts for most of the FA (financial analyst) in CFA.
With respect to ratios in
accounting, make sure you know whether higher or lower ratios are generally
preferred, what types of changes would change the ratios, and finally how
differences in accounting methods and estimates affect the ratios. This
last part is important when doing many types of financial analysis. Review and
practice capital (finance) leases, on income taxes, on capitalization,
depreciation, and impairment, and on ratio analysis. For income tax accounting,
it may help to keep these two key concepts in mind: 1) At any point in
time, accumulated asset depreciation for tax minus the accumulated depreciation
on financials, times the expected tax rate, is the DTL. 2) Expenses that are
accrued on the financial statements, but not yet actually incurred so they have
not reduced taxes, increase DTAs.
In the year I wrote my l1, IFRS/U.S.
GAAP differences were a big deal. The curriculum focus on IFRS has been getting
stronger each year. With respect to income tax, memorize that “tax expense =
taxes payable + the change in DTL – the change in DTA” and build on that.
You need to know how accelerated depreciation for tax creates a DTL and how
accrual accounting for warranty expense creates a DTA. Once you are
really clear on those points, pick up a few of the details and you’ll be in
good shape. You will also be able to pick up the rest of the details when
you do practice exams.
First make sure you can do any
calculations required by the LOS (the ones with the word calculate in them),
then focus on the conceptual stuff, and finally do the Corporate Governance
stuff. Don’t be surprised if this Governance material is tested out of
proportion to its content. More concepts to review include Capital
Budgeting and Cost of Capital, Cash conversion cycle, liquidity ratios, yield
calculations, and sales-based forecasts, Operating cycle and evaluation of
working capital performance.
In Equity Investments, which
includes securities markets and equity analysis and valuation. This topic takes
around 24 questions. The securities markets reading is basic knowledge you
should have, particularly types of orders, short sale details, stock indexes,
and the concept of informationally efficient market prices. The market
efficiency analysis is very likely to be tested, so I would review and practice
on that. The material on anomalies is also worth to review where it covers the
types of things equities managers must consider when evaluating research
results, investment strategies based on those results, and the possible returns
to such strategies.
As part of the valuation of
equities, the dividend discount model is the backbone of financial
analysis and you should learn it well enough to be comfortable with any
questions you get on it. Other important aspects of stock selection,
including the different types of equity (common vs. preferred, domestic vs.
foreign, public vs. private); industry and company analysis (industry and peer
groups, competitive forces, industry life cycle, impact of structural changes
in the economy); and valuation models based on price multiples, enterprise
value, and firm assets. The difference between absolute and relative valuation
methods is a key point here. You will also need to master
equities terminology, indexes, and equities valuation. For Debt
Securities (around 24 questions), with the news on MBS, ABS, CMOs, and
CDOs this last few years, they will test this stuff and it won’t be just
calculations; it will be the terminology, the concepts, and how the concepts all
tie together. In your review and practices, pay attention to the bond
basics and terminology, and on bond valuation, yield calculations, and spreads.
Derivatives can be confusing,
especially if you haven’t worked with them at all. The good news is that,
for l1, you just have to know the terminology and basic characteristics of
options, swaps, forward contracts, and listed futures, and how to value them at
expiration or settlement. For each derivative security you should first
focus on what must happen for the long to have gains (if the opposite happens
the short position will have gains). Same old l1 story, nothing too
terribly complex, but it takes a lot of practice.
For Portfolio Management and
Alternative Investments, while both study sessions are short, Portfolio will be
5-7% of the CFA Exam and Alternative will be 4% of the exam. I would not
spending too much time on these topics if I am short on time, but definitely do
questions and cover the characteristics of hedge funds, mutual funds, and ETFs,
along with a bit of real estate valuation and a few words on the valuation of
closely-held companies and commodities as an investment. At this point,
you need to prioritize and clear out the most heavily tested areas like FRS,
ethics, quant, equity/fixed income etc.
Be sure to focus on the Learning
Outcome Statements and to not get bogged down in small points to the extent you
miss the big ones. And remember which topics have the big weights: 20%
for FR&A, 15% for Ethics, 12% for Quant, 10% for Economics, 10% for Fixed
income, 10% for Equities, and 7% for Corporate Finance.
Five weeks to the exam, so I know
you are all planning your final study strategies. I hope they involve
lots of practice at answering multiple choice questions quickly and correctly. Once
again, you will want to sit through a few real practices before the actual
exam. You can time a 6 hour exam on Saturdays and go through all questions on Sunday,
you will be able to get through 4,5 exams that way.
Have a good and productive weekend,
stay calm, and enjoy.
3 comments:
Thanks a lot for your post. Seeing not much comments, I think everyone is busy with their study but I'm sure people who read your blog appreciate your effort. At least my friends and I find it really cool from you to take your time to post new tips and try to help us. Thanks for your generosity! Your blog is still far the best In this field. Thanks!
Thanks. Agree with previous comment. Very nice and generous of you to take your time to help us. Your blog is really very inspiring and Helpful! You have no idea how it helps me. All the tips are very useful and whenever I am so fed up and almost want to quit, I read your blog which is a big mental support. Thanks ! Your blog rocks!
Thanks Anonymous, Justin, very appreciate your comments. There's only 4 weeks left, I am taking you guys are going hard on doing questions this months.
I am working on another post on level 2 summary this week, but given the time remaining I thought it might be more helpful to go over some tips on the actual exam day for people do are doing their exam for the first time. So there will be a few more post on the exam day strategies closer to the exam. Meanwhile I hope everyone is now starting to do practice questions and also timed exam sessions.
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